More Corona-Dead than I thought? Researchers believe, could be underestimated Figures

what is Clear is that In the spring of 2020, more people in many countries have died than usual. Unclear, however, what explains the higher death rate and what

More Corona-Dead than I thought? Researchers believe, could be underestimated Figures

what is Clear is that In the spring of 2020, more people in many countries have died than usual. Unclear, however, what explains the higher death rate and what is the role of Corona plays. An Overview:

Italy

41.329 people died in Italy in the worst month of the Corona-pandemic - about 20,000 more than the average in the previous five years. This is reported by researchers in a recently in the US journal "Jama Internal Medicine" report published. This meant a increase in the mortality rate of 104.5 percent.

The authors did in their study, the increase in the absolute number of deaths in the first quarter of 2020, with the previous years, and the reported number of Covid-19-deaths compared. For the period between 1. March and 4. In April, they noted a doubling of the mortality rate.

In the case of people who were 74 years of age or older, has doubled the number of deaths compared to the previous five years of an average 15.677 on 32.829 Dead. In Lombardy, the worst-affected Region of Italy, increased the mortality rate of 173 per cent, among men in the Region to 213 percent.

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the results of The study suggest that was the number of the Corona of the dead thus significantly on the information provided by the authorities : Because the official Numbers were, up to the beginning of April, 15,000 people to the consequences of a Corona-infection died.

In their report, the authors different reasons that can explain the discrepancy of more than 5000 dead (to the 20,000) . Among other things, people could be as a result of pre-existing diseases, died of the Virus only strengthened. In the official censuses only in the Corona were also deaths in hospitals and nursing homes registered, which could explain according to the authors, in part, by the lack of 5000 victims.

USA

Also in the US, the mortality rate is since Corona a further publication in the journal "Jama Internal Medicine" found to have increased sharply. In the investigated period from March to may, more than 120,000 people with 781.000 deceased, therefore, more have died than in previous years. So that the number of deaths in the United States is higher in the examined period by 28 percent, as the statistics Covid-19-let the dead suspect. In the period from the beginning of March to end of may, more than 95,000 deaths were, according to official Figures in the United States on Covid-19 has been conducted.

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However, the authors explain that the additional dead from the effects of a corona virus infection . In addition, cases of death had occurred to the part before sufficient corona had been tests. Thus, these deceased were, even if they had not been recorded infected with Sars-CoV-2, in the official Corona-death statistics.

UK

In the UK, there is also reason to believe that the official number of the Corona of the dead could yet turn out to be too low. Figures of the statistics according to the authorities, were captured by mid-July, nearly 55,000 deaths in which the lung disease Covid-19 on the death certificate was mentioned.

The excess mortality for the period of the pandemic to the calculations of the "Financial Times", according to but even at 65.700 are. the The excess mortality Plus deaths during the pandemic compared to the average of the previous years.

, Spain

Spain, it was the excess mortality, according to a report in the newspaper "El País" in the period 1. March to 2. June, 42 Percent. According to the Figures of the Central death register, died at this time 43.866 people more than in the same period of the previous year .

27.934 of them were positive on Covid-19 tested. The rest of 15.932 it may be people, in which the Virus does not or, who were suffering from other diseases and due to Overload of the health system is not adequately supplied has been discovered . Conceivable is also, that Sick out of fear of Covid-19 had consulted a doctor.

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the curve of The excess mortality is increasing in Spain, from about the middle of March, steep and reaches the beginning of April, with 155 percent of their peak value. At that time, nearly 1000 Corona were registered as Deaths per day. Thereafter, the curve flattens slowly and reached at the beginning of June the average level.

Germany

Germany did not increase the mortality case numbers from January to March 2020 strikingly, as the Federal Statistical office writes: "In April, the number of the Died was, however, with currently about 83.400 reported cases, far above the average of previous years (+9 percent) ." In absolute Numbers, this means that well-6800 people died more in April than in the last few years in the comparison period.

about this period, namely in the calendar weeks 14 to 18, from 30.3. up to 3.5., the official death was the cause of more than 6,000 people in Germany, Corona. The difference between the excess mortality and the number of the Corona of the dead in Germany in April, so less pronounced, to that observed in other countries. In may, the number of the deceased had disappeared in Germany of the previous years.

Corona-the Dead: What are the excess mortality?

The comparison of countries shows that already more people could have died as a result of a Corona disease, as officially reported. However, it can be called, as to the part already, can also lead to other effects, the differences between excess mortality and reported Corona-dead, such people worry could be too late or not gone to infect to the doctor.

Similarly, provision could be postponed appointments and diseases are not detected to have been. Some experts already suspected that the Lockdown measures, suicide rates have risen could be. A clear answer to the question, how many people ever died, in fact, to Covid-19, cannot be given currently.

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Also, mortality rates are countries to compare across hard

the death rate, so the number of those varies to a Sars-CoV-2 infection die in relation to all of the Infected, currently from country to country. This is partly due to the fact that the procedure in different countries is very different and thus difficult to compare, because

  • in some countries are not tested unclear deaths Covid-19, in other.
  • it is sometimes not clear whether Corona or rather a pre-existing condition has led to the death.
  • it are affected in different countries, different age groups particularly of a corona infection.
  • the death numbers also depend on how well the health system is equipped and the Patients can handle.

Despite the quarantine Bolsonaro meets Fans and takes in front of the cameras, the mask from the PCP, in Spite of quarantine Bolsonaro meets Fans and takes in front of the cameras, the mask

lik/with information from Reuters and AFP
Updated Date: 22 July 2020, 12:27

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