The prime minister of Ireland, Leo Varadkar, has announced this Sunday that has already taken a decision on the date of the next general election, and will announce it next Tuesday, after convening his Council of Ministers. Most of the national media point to the 7th of February as the most likely date.
Varadkar, leader of Fine Gael, the formation of center-right alternating in power in the last few decades with his rival, Fianna Fail, has managed to stay in the post from 2016 in a minority Government. Unlike previous experiences, in which his party always sought the formation of coalitions with labor, was tested for the first time an alliance with external support with Fianna Gael. The pact was initially signed for three years, but the uncertainty caused by the Brexit, during the mandate in the Uk Theresa May, has convinced the two partners to extend up to 2020 its cooperation.
But those two reasons, weight obvious, are the official. The unofficial has more to do with the weakness of the covenant of the legislature that supported the Government of Varadkar. The Fianna Fail is committed to abstain in key votes of the irish Parliament to not obstruct the task of the Executive. In recent months, the rejection of several mps to keep that pledge has put at risk the fragile arithmetic of parliamentary and made impossible the task of Government.
The presentation of a motion of censure against the minister of Health, Simon Harris, in the midst of strong criticism for the deterioration of public health services, has increased the tension between the partners. The motion is scheduled for February 5, and the announcement of some opposition members of parliament that they think voting against the Government has made to Varadkar will not worth with the abstention of Fianna Fail. They claimed a vote of support for the Executive that so far have refused to grant. A defeat in the parliamentary of this caliber would be understood as the end of Government. Varadkar has announced this week a final approach with Michael Martin, leader of Fianna Fail, that few expect a result.Updated Date: 12 January 2020, 18:00