The Basis for this would have to be Tests, and an isolation of at-risk groups, said in an analysis of the IWH-President Reint Gropp, who is the editor-in network in Germany (RND).Complete recovery of the German economy from the pandemic until 2022
"even now, with relatively optimistic assumptions, the recovery regarding, we forecast that the economy will collapse this year by around ten percent, and in 2022 the same level as in February 2020, to have achieved, which would correspond to the most severe recession of the postwar period," said Gropp.
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Self-declares this drastic forecast office, "that the measures are not extended, that there is no second wave of infections, and that the pent-up demand to drive in the autumn of 2020, the economy is strong," the IWH President.
Since the development of drugs and vaccines, "takes too long", "to keep the infections to the currently low level" and the economic consequences of a continued shutdown "would be dramatic," says the Economist to the expansion of testing, even if this solution would be expensive. "With nationwide, regular Tests that people self-apply, could leave large parts of the population back to work, Restaurants, or even Bars – it could simply come back to normal." Masks in Public places would then be superfluous, so Gropp. www.iwh-halle.de/ Reint Gropp
"The spirit of the atmosphere, which we observe at present, especially in the cities, would disappear, and the consumer behaviour of the people could return to normal," says the paper. At the same time "would have to be identified at-risk groups systematically and in isolation," says Gropp. "The Lockdown measures would not affect indiscriminately all the people, but a relatively small group that is exposed to a significantly higher risk of mortality."economy is not negligible emphasized:"politicians should keep the overall picture in the eye"
The IWH-in-chief, it is understandable and right that the policy of life of a people have no economic value attach to and refuse, the economic well-being of the society against Corona-deaths, state offset. Nevertheless, the current path is "unsustainable". He warns: "politicians should not look one-sided figures on Infection, but the overall picture in mind. The only way we can come out of the current crisis reasonably unscathed.“ Giant Constrictor snake young deer has a tight grip until the tide PCP Giant Constrictor snake has a young deer's fixed in the handle until the bladembe applies Date Of Update: 03 June 2020, 19:26