Pedro Cavadas' forecast about what will happen with the coronavirus and vaccines after the summer

Dr.

Pedro Cavadas' forecast about what will happen with the coronavirus and vaccines after the summer

Dr. Pedro Cavadas not only warned of the serious risks posed by the coronavirus and that a pandemic could decimate the world population. The surgeon, who is part of the prestigious Forbes list of the best doctors, was accused of being "alarmist" and "spreader of hoaxes" by the media and doctors.

However, Pedro Cavadas' forecasts were fulfilled and another of his forecasts follows the same path. The Valencian doctor warned that the asymmetric distribution of vaccines, which he said would take "several years" to reach the entire population, would make it difficult to eradicate the pandemic and, consequently, would facilitate the spread of the coronavirus.

In this regard, Pedro Cavadas set the time horizon for the fall of 2022 so that the pandemic could be controlled and that, for example, the use of the mask -the last valid symbol of the restrictions due to the coronavirus- would become a "optional".

In Spain, the face mask continues to be mandatory in public transport, pharmacies, health centers and hospitals. The Ministry of Health has not set a date for the end of the prevention measure against the coronavirus.

Pedro Cavadas' theses on the evolution of the coronavirus have now been reinforced by the European Center for Disease Control and Prevention (ECDC), which in its latest epidemiological report ensures that the subvariants of Ómicron BA. 4 and BA.5 will become "dominant" across the European Union, "likely to lead to an increase in Covid-19 cases in the coming weeks."

In this regard, according to the information provided by the Ministry of Health, the mutations present in the BA.4 and BA.5 variants of the coronavirus represent “an important antigenic change” and this “could give them a growth advantage thanks to a greater immune escape. ».

With the risk that the new variants cause an increase in infections, the director of the Center for Coordination of Health Alerts and Emergencies (CCAES), Fernando Simón, has warned this week that “the pandemic is not over”.

Along the same lines as Pedro Cavadas' forecasts, for Simón the next "autumn will be key" because "perhaps it is the moment of greatest risk." According to the person in charge of health emergencies in Spain, it will be at that moment when it must be decided whether to inoculate a fourth booster dose of the coronavirus vaccine to the entire population.

Along these lines, Margarita del Val, a researcher at the Higher Council for Scientific Research (CSIC), was in favor of the fourth dose at the I International Summit on Pandemic Management organized by the Valencia Local Police.

The virologist predicted, along the same lines that Pedro Cavadas predicted in his day and like Fernando Simón, that with the arrival of autumn and winter, especially with a view to the upcoming Christmas holidays, "with our usual behaviour, we we will infect more of all respiratory diseases, including Covid ».

Margarita del Val is committed to administering a fourth generalized dose if necessary, but only with a new vaccine that protects against the increase in infections and hospitalizations caused by the latest subvariants of Ómicron already present in Spain, such as those that are being evaluated during the first months this year the European Medicines Agency.

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