The autumn and Oktoberfest wave in Bavaria is picking up speed. In the state capital in particular, the incidence of corona has been increasing faster and faster in the second week since the beginning of the Oktoberfest, according to figures published by the Robert Koch Institute on Thursday. Accordingly, the official incidence in Munich is now 695.8. That means an increase of more than 172 percent within a week. The incidence is also increasing sharply across Bavaria – albeit not quite as extreme: On Thursday, the RKI reported a value of 594.8 for the Free State. On a weekly basis, this is an increase of almost 80 percent.

A direct connection between the particularly strong increase in Munich and the Oktoberfest can hardly be proven at the moment, but it is obvious: there was also a sharp increase in the incidences at other folk festivals about a week and a half after the start. These often continued to rise for some time. Experts had also predicted a "Wiesn wave" in the run-up to the Oktoberfest.

However, the seven-day incidence, i.e. the number of new corona infections recorded per 100,000 people within a week, has lost some of its meaningfulness in the meantime. Experts have been assuming for some time that there will be a high number of corona cases not recorded by the RKI - mainly because a PCR test is not carried out on all infected people. Only positive PCR tests count in the statistics. In addition, late registrations and transmission problems can lead to the distortion of individual daily values.

A total of 61 of the 96 districts and urban districts in Bavaria now have incidences of more than 500. On Wednesday there were only 40. The highest incidence is in the Rosenheim district with 906.3. This is the second highest value nationwide. Bavaria as a whole also has the second highest incidence in Germany after Saarland.

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